Papers

Lead author:

Short and Medium-Range Predictability of Warm-Season Derechos. Part II: Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecasts

Ribeiro et al. 2024, Weather and Forecasting.

We evaluated convection-allowing ensemble forecasts using MPAS of 24 derecho events to understand when and why the model fails at derecho prediction.


Short and Medium-Range Predictability of Warm-Season Derechos. Part I: Operational Predictability and Composites

Ribeiro et al. 2024, Weather and Forecasting.

We assessed derecho predictability using SPC Convective Outlooks and analyzed the main differences between derechos with higher and lower predictability.


An Analysis of the 3 May 2020 Low-Predictability Derecho Using a Convection-Allowing MPAS Ensemble

Ribeiro et al. 2022, Weather and Forecasting

We analyzed convection-allowing ensemble forecasts using MPAS to understand what factors were associated with low operational predictability of the 3 May 2020 derecho.


An Evaluation of the GOES-16 Rapid Scan for Nowcasting in Southeastern Brazil: Analysis of a Severe Hailstorm Case

Ribeiro et al. 2019, Weather and Forecasting

The GOES-16 1-minute scans are evaluated against 5-, 10- and 15-minute scans for nowcasting of a hailstorm in Southeastern Brazil.


A climatology of quasi-linear convective systems and associated synoptic-scale environments in southern Brazil

Ribeiro and Seluchi 2018, International Journal of Climatology

Quasi-linear convective systems were quantified using radar imagery and composites of QLCS environments were constructed using reanalysis.


Elevated Mixed Layers and Associated Severe Thunderstorm Environments in South and North America

Ribeiro and Bosart 2018, Monthly Weather Review

Elevated mixed layers in South America are quantified using a reanalysis dataset and compared to the elevated mixed layers in North America.


Synoptic climatology of warm fronts in Southeastern South America

Ribeiro et al. 2016, International Journal of Climatology

A climatology of warm fronts in Southeastern South America was made using reanalysis dataset and the equivalent potential temperature gradient as a proxy for a warm front. Warm fronts are common in this region and often precede heavy rain events.


Co-author:

Salio, P., Bechis, H., Ribeiro, B. Z., Nascimento, E., Galligani, V., and others, 2024: Towards a South American Severe Weather Reports Database. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.105, E1204–E1217, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0063.1.

Vendrasco, E. P., Machado, L. A. T, Ribeiro, B. Z., Freitas, E. D., Ferreira, R. C., Negri, R. G., 2020: Cloud-Resolving Model Applied to Nowcasting: An Evaluation of Radar Data Assimilation and Microphysics Parameterization. Weather and Forecasting, v. 35, p. 2345-2365, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0017.1.

Freire, J. L. M., Longo, K. M., Freitas, S. R., Coelho, C. A. S., Molod, A. M., Marshak, J., Silva, A., Ribeiro, B. Z., 2020: To What Extent Biomass Burning Aerosols Impact South America Seasonal Climate Predictions? Geophysical Research Letters, v. 47, i. 16, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL088096.


Under review:

2024: What do large hail, tornado and severe thunderstorm wind environments have in common across continents? M. Taszarek, T. Pucik, C. Nixon, J. Allen, P. Groenemeijer, J. Peters, F. Battaglioli, B. Ribeiro, H. Bechis, A. Dowdy, H. Brooks. Under Review in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.